At 29 decades old Martin is coming into his prime. Undefeated in Welterweight he’s revealing substantial improvements in both skill and fight IQ. Martin is a BJJ Blackbelt but it is his striking that is shining lately showing good movement and a very long troublesome jab. Maia is almost 42 years old but nevertheless stays dangerous. On the floor his control and submission arsenal is unmatched. He has taken considerable damage in late struggles where his inability to acquire takedowns leaves him a sitting duck. Without a realistic name shot on the horizon you have to question his motivation moving forward.
Stylistically this is a struggle Maia should triumph, but with all the athletic and striking advantages in Martins favour the result is much closer than the line indicates. Maia will need early takedowns and maybe a finish in round one. Martin should make this difficult and if he is trapped, has got the BJJ to survive the submission attacks. Into round two will probably be at which Martin will take over as it is no secret Maia slows drastically. This Is a Great spot to take the hungry young fighter at dogs odds.Drew Dober Breakdown
Dober comes into this matchup off a reduction, but fought well and is showing a lot of improvements fight to fight. He’s developed his capability to compliment his quite accurate striking style. Another facet to his game is his wrestling, which he seems to mix into his offence more frequently. No world beater, but a well rounded fighter with a solid chin signifies Dober matches up well with other reduced level fighters.
Polo Reyes is 34 decades old and his durability is now a massive question mark. Two of the last three fights have ended in a bad TKO loss. He throws with serious power but is not well rounded, as vulnerable by Had??ovi?? who dominated him on the floor before pounding out him. Essentially all the skill advantages are with Dober leaving Reyes with few avenues to success other than a punchers chance. The price is steep but that this fight should be a straight forward victory for Dober
Bet = Dober in 1.31 (-325) odds. Risk 5 Units to win 1.55 Units.
Vinc Pichel Breakdown
This is a classic big favourite prospect taking a step up snare. Roberts has a lot of hype but has failed to spark up to now against some lacklustre competition. There are a number of obvious holes in his game where he is backed up readily and retains his chin high. Pitchel is coming back after another layoff and at 36 there’s a chance he might look slower. He has big power and are going to want to induce a brawl in which his durability and toughness can glow.
This should be a competitive game where we cannot overlook the chances on Pichel. Roberts has potential but hasn’t revealed anything yet to warrant such a price tag. Look for the veteran to force striking trades and property some power shots. A KO is potential or close decision also likely.
Bet = Pichel in 3.50 (+250) chances. Risk 2 Units to acquire 5.0 Units.
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