This weekend, we have a 12-fight card at Russia. DraftKings has some solid contests for us to acquire a lot of cash from this week contemplating it is a more compact card and begins at 10:15am ET. The main GPP is a $15 buy and $25k goes to 1st place with a total of $100k being paid out. They also have a brand new Qualifier for $175,000. There will be 100 qualifiers for that contest and they’ll compete for a $50k first location price and that $175k will probably be distributed between all 100 admissions that qualify. I will try to get my 2nd and 3rd seats this week if possible. Those Qualifier only competitions can be real bankroll suckers so be cautious chasing those overly hard. I will probably stick to the very best GPP this week and then toss 100 or so entries at the $25k prize, then I will likely take a few shots in the Q. I will also be posting H2Hs as well as picking up H2Hs through the week to receive a great quantity of play into money games.
With that said, let us get to a couple plays I enjoy this week Together with my fade of this week:
Cash Game play of the week — Roxanne Modafferi — $6,900
I don’t believe there are any money locks nowadays, so I wanted to bring a money strategy I use a great deal of the moment, which is punting in cash and accepting a reduction. I don’t believe Roxy gets the win , but she is only $6.9k and I think she receives 15-minutes of actions. I like the floor that comes with that and punting with her cheap cost allows us to fit in a lot of those higher favorites with our other five spots. We do not want 6 wins in money games, so that I don’t believe we need to even try for it. I like playing money games if I can lock 25-35 points at a reduction from Roxy in her cheap price I’m totally okay with that. I look for 4 wins in cash and over 350-400 DK points. That is my goal weekly. Let everyone else make the errors and only shoot for a score that may conquer 50% or more of the field.
GPP play of this week — Alistair Overeem — $8,900
This is an all-in fight for GPPs in my opinion and I enjoy Overeem as one of my top plays of the week. Oleinik took this fight on short notice so that I would be shocked to see this go all 5 rounds. In addition, I think Overeem will be too quick for him to get takedowns, and Overeem is amounts ahead of him at the striking game. The only shooter Oleinik has of winning on the toes would be by landing a haymaker and knocking Overeem out. Or, get a standing submission. Other than those two results, Overeem will smoke on the feet. I also believe Overeem will work his way back to his feet if he’s removed and the longer Oleinik shoots takedowns the faster he will gas outside. I enjoy the -175 ITD lineup which is included with Overeem here and I think he gets a finish in round 2 or 1. That should give us near 100 DK points if not more, and I want that in lots of my own GPP lineups.
Underdog drama of the week — Rafael Fiziev — $7,700
Fiziev is no longer the underdog on the betting line (-120) but DraftKings salaries don’t change as soon as they are released. We get Fiziev here for 800 less costly than Mustafaev and he’s favored to get the win. I was very impressed with what I saw out of this child and that I concur with all the line motion. I really do think he gets the win , but it is the DK value that we want to be sure to find exposure to this weekend. I think he’s an excellent play cash games with the present value and that I hope to be overweight on him GPPs as well. We must roster underdogs in our lineups and when we can use a popular as among those”underdogs” I am usually on board for it.
Fade of the week — Antonina Shevchenko ($9,300)
Antonina Shevchenko is my fade of this week because of her $9.3k price tag. I do think she gets the win here since I said earlier, I simply don’t see the way she’ll pay off that salary without a finish. I don’t see her shooting any takedowns in this match, and I do not want to rely on her obtaining knockdown points either. So, we’re only likely to be receiving 0.5 points per significant strike, and then the 30-point win bonus if she wins a decision. If this is the case, we’d want her to property over 126 sig strikes just to secure more than 10x value. I really don’t see that being true and I think she more likely scores 80-85 DK points in a decision triumph. At her wages, that won’t win anybody the big $25k. That’s the prize I’m shooting so that’s why she is my fade of this week.
Thank you for reading this and good luck this weekend! If You’d like my full-card breakdown at which I breakdown every struggle on the card and provide my full DraftKings evaluation, as well as all my pick predictions, then you can find that for just $7.99 at this link below:
(Premium stakes are offered at that link as well. I’m 69-41 for +237.39un (+$23,739) since May 19th, 2018 on Premium Plays)
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